What Will the New Silver Price Electronic Exchange Mean to the Precious Metals Market?
For a long time organizations such as GATA.org, those involved in the precious metals industry as dealers and resellers have claimed that there is price fixing in the precious metals markets. Some have claimed that the big banks and the Federal Reserve have done a tremendous amount of “naked shorting” to suppress their true worth.
As with any claim or concerns about price-fixing, lawsuits are occurring. Apparently the current system has lost some credibility and has become a liability.
The London Metals Exchange now announces a new set-up, a silver price electronic exchange, starting in August for the selling of silver. Apparently it is trying to address these concerns. (see article below)
So the question becomes what will that do to the price of silver? If there is a new market for trading will that cause silver prices to increase? Will prices become more volatile or like a roller coaster ride? What impact will this have on other precious metals? These are just a few of the questions I have.
I do not have a degree in finance, business, or economics although I do teach business law to MBA students. So I am a layman, just like you, who reads, observes and looks for patterns.
What I am trying to determine is when the price of precious metal rise, is there an inverse relationship to the health of the dollar? If there is, then obviously when the price of precious metals elevate one should be concerned about the viability of the U.S. Dollar and other currencies. Another question I am mulling is whether a rise in precious metals is more of an accurate indicator of the true rate of inflation instead of our government statistics? Since the Clinton Administration changed the formula for inflation accounting many say that the real rate of inflation is underreported. See John Williams’s website www.shadowstats.com for more information.
For those interested in this topic see the announcement below:
* LBMA settles on silver fix replacement after 2-month hunt
* New mechanism heralds change in precious metals benchmarks
By Clara Denina and Jan Harvey
LONDON, July 11 (Reuters) – CME Group and Thomson Reuters will operate an electronic silver benchmark when the 117-year-old “fix” is disbanded in August, in a move widely seen preceding sweeping reforms of precious metals price-setting.
The London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) said in a statement on Friday that CME Group will provide a price platform and methodology for the daily process, while Thomson Reuters is responsible for administration and governance.
CME/Thomson Reuters will start testing the new process in early August after the closely contested competition to produce a solution.
The silver fix – used by producers, consumers and investors – is set every day at noon by three banks via a conference call, working out a price at which their customers are willing to buy and sell the metal.
But with increased attention from regulators in the wake of benchmark manipulation in other markets, the current operator – London Silver Market Fixing Ltd – said in May it would stop running the daily call.
The LBMA consulted market participants with the aim of producing a transparent electronic alternative that complies with toughened regulatory benchmarking standards.
Wall Street Bailout: Were We Lied To, Robbed And Misled?
I appreciate this interview by Chris Martenson of Peak Prosperity doing this interview of David Stockman. Stockman is someone who understands our economy and how government functions. Listen to his analysis of the Wall Street Bailout.
There’s a saying when someone wrongs you: Shame on them the first time they do the wrongdoing. The second time they commit the wrongdoing, shame on you (or me).
Do you think that this is applicable? And what do you think should be done? Share your thoughts and possible solutions.
Think about it! –No Name Attorney
David Stockman: We’ve Been Lied To, Robbed, And Misled
And we’re still at risk of it happening all over again
Then, when the Fed’s fire hoses started spraying an elephant soup of liquidity injections in every direction and its balance sheet grew by $1.3 trillion in just thirteen weeks compared to $850 billion during its first ninety-four years, I became convinced that the Fed was flying by the seat of its pants, making it up as it went along. It was evident that its aim was to stop the hissy fit on Wall Street and that the thread of a Great Depression 2.0 was just a cover story for a panicked spree of money printing that exceeded any other episode in recorded human history.
David Stockman, The Great Deformation
David Stockman, former director of the OMB under President Reagan, former US Representative, and veteran financier is an insider’s insider. Few people understand the ways in which both Washington DC and Wall Street work and intersect better than he does.
By manipulating the price of money through sustained and historically low interest rates, Greenspan and Bernanke created an era of asset mis-pricing that inevitably would need to correct. And when market forces attempted to do so in 2008, Paulson et al hoodwinked the world into believing the repercussions would be so calamitous for all that the institutions responsible for the bad actions that instigated the problem needed to be rescued — in full — at all costs.
Of course, history shows that our markets and economy would have been better off had the system been allowed to correct. Most of the “too big to fail” institutions would have survived or been broken into smaller, more resilient, entities. For those that would have failed, smaller, more responsible banks would have stepped up to replace them – as happens as part of the natural course of a free market system:
Essentially there was a cleansing run on the wholesale funding market in the canyons of Wall Street going on. It would have worked its will, just like JP Morgan allowed it to happen in 1907 when we did not have the Fed getting in the way. Because they stopped it in its tracks after the AIG bailout and then all the alphabet soup of different lines that the Fed threw out, and then the enactment of TARP, the last two investment banks standing were rescued, Goldman and Morgan [Stanley], and they should not have been. As a result of being rescued and having the cleansing liquidation of rotten balance sheets stopped, within a few weeks and certainly months they were back to the same old games, such that Goldman Sachs got $10 billion dollars for the fiscal year that started three months later after that check went out, which was October 2008. For the fiscal 2009 year, Goldman Sachs generated what I call a $29 billion surplus – $13 billion of net income after tax, and on top of that $16 billion of salaries and bonuses, 95% of it which was bonuses.
Therefore, the idea that they were on death’s door does not stack up. Even if they had been, it would not make any difference to the health of the financial system. These firms are supposed to come and go, and if people make really bad bets, if they have a trillion dollar balance sheet with six, seven, eight hundred billion dollars worth of hot-money short-term funding, then they ought to take their just reward, because it would create lessons, it would create discipline. So all the new firms that would have been formed out of the remnants of Goldman Sachs where everybody lost their stock values – which for most of these partners is tens of millions, hundreds of millions – when they formed a new firm, I doubt whether they would have gone back to the old game. What happened was the Fed stopped everything in its tracks, kept Goldman Sachs intact, the reckless Goldman Sachs and the reckless Morgan Stanley, everyone quickly recovered their stock value and the game continues. This is one of the evils that comes from this kind of deep intervention in the capital and money markets.
Stockman’s anger at the unnecessary and unfair capital transfer from taxpayer to TBTF bank is matched only by his concern that, even with those bailouts, the banking system is still unacceptably vulnerable to a repeat of the same crime:
The banks quickly worked out their solvency issues because the Fed basically took it out of the hides of Main Street savers and depositors throughout America. When the Fed panicked, it basically destroyed the free-market interest rate – you cannot have capitalism, you cannot have healthy financial markets without an interest rate, which is the price of money, the price of capital that can freely measure and reflect risk and true economic prospects.
Well, once you basically unplug the pricing mechanism of a capital market and make it entirely an administered rate by the Fed, you are going to cause all kinds of deformations as I call them, or mal-investments as some of the Austrians used to call them, that basically pollutes and corrupts the system. Look at the deposit rate right now, it is 50 basis points, maybe 40, for six months. As a result of that, probably $400-500 billion a year is being transferred as a fiscal maneuver by the Fed from savers to the banks. They are collecting the spread, they’ve then booked the profits, they’ve rebuilt their book net worth, and they paid back the TARP basically out of what was thieved from the savers of America.
Now they go down and pound the table and whine and pout like JP Morgan and the rest of them, you have to let us do stock buy backs, you have to let us pay out dividends so we can ramp our stock and collect our stock option winnings. It is outrageous that the authorities, after the so-called “near death experience” of 2008 and this massive fiscal safety net and monetary safety net was put out there, is allowing them to pay dividends and to go into the market and buy back their stock. They should be under house arrest in a sense that every dime they are making from this artificial yield group being delivered by the Fed out of the hides of savers should be put on their balance sheet to build up retained earnings, to build up a cushion. I do not care whether it is fifteen or twenty or twenty-five percent common equity and retained earnings-to-assets or not, that is what we should be doing if we are going to protect the system from another raid by these people the next time we get a meltdown, which can happen at any time.
You can see why I talk about corruption, why crony capitalism is so bad. I mean, the Basel capital standards, they are a joke. We are just allowing the banks to go back into the same old game they were playing before. Everybody said the banks in late 2007 were the greatest thing since sliced bread. The market cap of the ten largest banks in America, including from Bear Stearns all the way to Citibank and JP Morgan and Goldman and so forth, was $1.25 trillion. That was up thirty times from where the predecessors of those institutions had been. Only in 1987, when Greenspan took over and began the era of bubble finance – slowly at first then rapidly, eventually, to have the market cap grow thirty times – and then on the eve of the great meltdown see the $1.25 trillion to market cap disappear, vanish, vaporize in panic in September 2008. Only a few months later, $1 trillion of that market cap disappeared in to the abyss and panic, and Bear Stearns is going down, and all the rest.
This tells you the system is dramatically unstable. In a healthy financial system and a free capital market, if I can put it that way, you are not going to have stuff going from nowhere to @1.2 trillion and then back to a trillion practically at the drop of a hat. That is instability; that is a case of a medicated market that is essentially very dangerous and is one of the many adverse consequences and deformations that result from the central-bank dominated, corrupt monetary system that has slowly built up ever since Nixon closed the gold window, but really as I say in my book, going back to 1933 in April when Roosevelt took all the private gold. So we are in a big dead-end trap, and they are digging deeper every time you get a new maneuver.
Click the play button below to listen to Chris’ interview with David Stockman (56m:33s):
Chris Martenson: Welcome to another Peak Prosperity Podcast. I am your host, of course, Chris Martenson. Today we are speaking with a guest that I am especially keen to have on to interview today, Mr. David Stockman, economic policy maker, politician, and financier.
Give me a call at (336) 823 0008. I'll give you candid answers to your questions.
Look forward to hearing from you! Debi
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